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Manziel over Carr, Lynch over Prescott, Trubisky over Watson

Lesson to be learned: Be better at evaluating quarterbacks

It’s that simple, right?

Teams still don’t know how to predict with any accuracy which quarterback prospects will succeed and which will fail, which is why seven quarterbacks, including first-round cheap nfl jerseys china nike bust Paxton Lynch, were selected ahead of 2016 Offensive Rookie of the Year Dak Prescott. It’s why Blake Bortles and Johnny Manziel were first-round picks nfl nike jersey cheap ahead of Teddy Bridgewater and Derek Carr in 2014. It’s why Mitchell Trubisky went second overall and Deshaun Watson went 12th overall in 2017.

Don’t even get us started on the year Robert Griffin III, Ryan Tannehill and Brandon Weeden were first-round picks, and Russell Wilson, Nick Foles and Kirk Cousins were mid-rounders. That deserves its own essay but is thankfully beyond the five-year sample we’re using for this breakdown.

The lesson above is tongue-in-cheek, but the real message here might be that a team in need of a franchise quarterback would be best served swinging the bat as often as possible. Let’s all stop pretending we know who’ll pan out and who’ll bust.

It would have seemed pretty silly for the Browns to have taken Manziel with the No. 22 pick, as well as Carr with the No. 35 pick (one spot ahead of Oakland), but they would have essentially doubled their chances of finding a new franchise quarterback, and Carr’s presence would have made it easier to forgive and forget the Manziel selectioch eap nike nfl jersey n.

That doesn’t mean the still-quarterback-hungry Browns should use both of their top-four selections on quarterbacks this year, but doing so isn’t as wacky as many believe. The only way it would backfire is if both signal-callers became busts, but in the Browns’ current state (also known as rock bottom),cheap nike nfl jerseys wholesale¬† that might not be any worse than drafting one bust along with Saquon Barkley.

That remains a far-fetched scenario regardless, but the Browns should at least strongly consider drafting a second quarterback in a later round, just as the Washington Redskins smartly did with Robert Griffin III and Kirk Cousins in 2012.

Teams have to learn that they aren’t smart enough to correctly and consistently identify future franchise quarterbacks, and then they either have to learn to start rolling the dice more or find a new way to evaluate entry-level players at the game’s most important position.